Politics | Election 2008 McCain Camp Warning: Exit Polls Skew Democratic They always favor Democrats, so just ignore them By Gabriel Winant Posted Nov 4, 2008 8:25 AM CST Copied Two women exit a polling place after voting, Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2008, in Pepper Pike, Ohio. (AP Photo/Tony Dejak) John McCain is likely to underperform in exit polls, which historically favor Democrats, writes McCain’s pollster Bill McInturff in a memo reprinted by CQ Insider. In the last two presidential elections, exit polls have shown the Democratic candidate doing better than he ultimately did in the real vote count. There’s a simple reason for this: Democrats are more willing than Republicans to participate in exit polls. McInturff notes that the skewing effect occurs at the state level as well that national: support for John Kerry in 2004 was exaggerated by exit polls in 26 states, but for George W. Bush in only four. High turnout tends to skew exit polls even more, so voters need to be on guard against thinking the race is decided before it is. Read These Next 11 people hurt in a "brutal act of violence" in Michigan. White House makes Hegseth put his polygraph away. A new book argues the Sacagawea legend is all wrong. A parent's nightmare, in a white cardboard box. Report an error